海洋的变化及其对中国气候的作用(6)
此外,本文评估揭示,有关中国近海盐度、环流、强台风和海洋热浪的变化,尤其是海洋的碳源汇、酸化和溶解氧的观测、预估和相关研究亟须加强。
致谢:本文参考了《第四次气候变化国家评估报告》第一卷第七章:“海洋与中国气候变化”初稿的部分内容,并借此机会感谢参与本章撰写或讨论的各位作者:曹龙、陈泽生、成里京、杜凌、杜岩、刘克修、谭红建、吴仁广、张锐、张守文、张晓爽、王东晓(按姓氏拼音为序)。
[1]IPCC. Climate change 2013: the physical science basis[M/OL]// STOCKER, QIN D, PLATTNER G K, et al. Working Group I contribution to the fifth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA: Cambridge University Press, 2013-09-30[2020-06-11].
[2] CHENG L J, TRENBERTH K, FASULLO J, et al. Improved estimates of ocean heat content from 1960-2015[J]. Science advances, 2017,3(3):e,1-10.
[3] IPCC. Summary for policymakers [R/OL]// IPCC special report on the ocean and cryosphere in a changing climate. 2019-09-24[2020-06-11].
[4] CAI R, TAN H, QI Q. Impacts of and adaptation to inter-decadal marine climate change in coastal China seas[J]. International journal of climatology, 2016,36(11):3770-3780.
[5] CAI R, TAN H, KONTOYIANNIS H. Robust surface warming in offshore China seas and its relationship to the East Asian monsoon wind field and ocean forcing on interdecadal time scales[J]. Journal of climate, 2017,30(22):8987-9005
[6] 蔡榕硕, 付迪. 全球变暖背景下中国东部气候变迁及其对物候的影响[J]. 大气科学, 2018, 42(4):729-740.
[7] LIU Q Y, ZHANG Q. Analysis on long-term change of sea surface temperature in the China Seas[J]. Journal of Ocean University of China, 2013,12(2):295-300.
[8] OEY L Y, CHANG M C, CHANG Y L, et al. Decadal warming of coastal China Seas and coupling with winter monsoon and currents[J]. Geophysical research letters, 2013,40(23):6288-6292.
[9] PEI Y, LIU X, HE H. Interpreting the sea surface temperature warming trend in the Yellow Sea and East China Sea[J]. Science China earth sciences, 2017,60(8):1558-1568.
[10]YAN, Z, DING Y, ZHAI P, et al. Re-assessing climatic warming in China since 1900[J]. Journal of meteorological research, 2020,34(2):243-251
[11]黄传江, 乔方利, 宋亚娟, 等. CMIP5模式对南海SST的模拟和预估[J]. 海洋学报, 2014,36(1):38-47.
[12]宋春阳,张守文,姜华, 等. CMIP5模式对中国海海表温度的模拟及预估[J]. 海洋学报, 2016,38(10):1-11.
[13]谭红建, 蔡榕硕, 颜秀花. 基于IPCC-CMIP5预估21世纪中国海海表温度变化[J]. 应用海洋学学报, 2016,35(4):451-458.
[14]谭红建, 蔡榕硕, 颜秀花. 基于CMIP5预估21世纪中国近海海洋环境变化[J]. 应用海洋学学报, 2018,37(2):152-160.
[15]TAN H, CAI R, HUO Y, et al. Projections of changes in marine environment in coastal China seas over the 21st century based on CMIP5 models[J]. Journal of oceanology and limnology, 2020. DOI:/10.1007/s00343-019-9134-5.
[16]陈海花, 李洪平, 何林洁, 等. 基于SODA数据集的南海海表面盐度分布特征与长期变化趋势分析[J]. 海洋技术学报, 2015,34(4):48-52
[17]苗庆生, 杨锦坤, 杨扬, 等. 东海30oN断面冬季温盐分布及年际变化特征分析[J]. 中国海洋大学学报, 2016, 46(6):1-7.
[18]CHEN X, LIU Z, WANG H, et al. Significant salinity increase in subsurface waters of the South China Sea during 2016-2017[J]. Acta oceanologica sinica,2019,38(11):51-61.
[19]WU L, CAI W, ZHANG L, et al. Enhanced warming over the global subtropical western boundary currents[J]. Nature climate change, 2012, 2(3):161-166.
[20]HU S, SPRINTALL J, GUAN C, et al. Deep-reaching acceleration of global mean ocean circulation over the past two decades[J]. Science advances, 2020, 6(6):eaax7727,1-8.
[21]CHEN C, WANG G. Interannual variability of the eastward current in the western South China Sea associated with the summer Asian Monsoon[J]. Journal of geophysical research:oceans,2014,119(9):5745-5754.
[22]XUE H, CHAI F, PETTIGREW N, et al. Kuroshio intrusion and the circulation in the South China Sea[J]. Journal of geophysical research, 2004,109:C02017,1-14.
[23]XU F H, OEY L Y. State analysis using the Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter (LETKF) and the three-layer circulateon structure of the Luzon Strait and the South China Sea[J]. Ocean dynamics, 2014,64(6):905-923.
[24]YUAN D, HSUEH Y. Dynamics of the cross-shelf circulation in the Yellow and East China Seas in winter[J]. Deep-sea research II, 2010,57(19-20):1745-1761.
[25]蔡榕硕, 齐庆华, 张启龙. 北太平洋西边界流的低频变化特征[J]. 海洋学报, 2013,35(1):9-14.
[26]邢传玺, 黄大吉. 冬季黄海暖流西片机理数值探讨[J]. 海洋学报, 2010, 32(6):1-10.
[27]OPPENHEIMER M, GLAVOVIC B, HINKEL J, et al. Sea level rise and implications for low lying islands, coasts and communities [R/OL]// IPCC special report on the ocean and cryosphere in a changing climate. 2019-09-24[2020-06-11].
文章来源:《海洋工程》 网址: http://www.hygczz.cn/qikandaodu/2021/0315/606.html